Mathematical Biology Seminar Abstract
Feb 06, 2013
Pauline van den Driessche
University of Victoria, Canada, Department of Mathematics and Statistics
10:30 am in MSB 318

Modeling the spread of West Nile Virus

West Nile virus spreads through interacting bird and mosquito populations, with humans as dead end hosts. The first recorded epidemic of West Nile virus in North America was in New York state in 1999, and since then it has spread spatially to most of the USA, causing over 200 human deaths in 2012. This spatial spread is modeled by a reaction-diffusion system with cross infection between birds and mosquitoes. For a simplified version of the model, the existence of traveling waves is proved and the spatial spread rate is calculated. Use of a comparison theorem shows that this may provide an upper bound for the spread rate of the more complex system.