Mathematical Biology Seminar Abstract
Sep 24, 2014
Michael Kelly
Ohio State University, Department of Mathematics
12:30 pm in MSB 318

The impact of spatial arrangements on waterborne disease control

Infectious diseases are an area of concern for the human population. Recently, questions have been raised as to the importance of spatial features on disease spread and how movement patterns affect management strategies. The role of spatial arrangements in a metapopulation on the spread and management strategies of a cholera epidemic is investigated, considering how the movement of individuals and water affects the optimal vaccination strategy. For each metapopulation, the model has an Susceptible-Infected- Recovered (SIR) system of differential equations coupled with an equation modeling the concentration of Vibrio cholerae in an aquatic reservoir. The model is used to compare spatial arrangements and varying scenarios to draw conclusions on how to effectively manage outbreaks. The work is motivated by the recent cholera outbreak in Haiti.